We live through truly transformative times with fundamental and major dislocations in politics, economics and capital markets. Independent and democratic Ukraine is under unprovoked military attack and suffering horrendous atrocities from totalitarian and revanchist Russia. This war, however, has global implications. Under attack are also...
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Stalemate Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February took the world by surprise, and has moved investors’ attention away from COVID to almost exclusively on geopolitics and inflation. As well as the enormous humanitarian impact and suffering caused, the war has created major global financial consequences for...
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Russia’s Putin launched an unprovoked military invasion into the Ukraine on February 24th 2022. Up to that point Putin had three strategic options to deal with the self-inflicted situation in the Ukraine: to de-escalate, to muddle-through or to attack. I had assigned a low probability to...
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