Article from Beat Wittmann, Chief Investment Strategist @ Key Family PartnersGeopolitics, Economies, Markets in Epochal Transformation The geopolitical landscape is marked by accelerating fragmentation driven by nationalism and populism, the erosion of centrist political parties, and the rise of strongman leadership models. The traditional rules-based order...
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Article from Beat Wittmann, Chief Investment Strategist @ Key Family PartnersPolitics and Power War and peace, economic growth and decline, business boom or bust and capital market gains and losses - everything is dominated by the only three superpowers, namely the US, EU and China. The...
Read MoreArticle by Beat Wittmann, Chief Investment Strategist at Key Family Partners SA Geopolitics - The US Presidential Election CircusGeopolitics remain complex but we don’t expect further escalation, most importantly, nor weaponization in the energy field. Both conflicts - Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Gaza - are contained and the...
Read MoreArticle by Beat Wittmann, Chief Investment Strategist at Key Family Partners SA Meandering Between Nationalism and Democratic Capitalism What links hidden Chinese youth unemployment and major property defaults to Russia’s capital controls and the crumbling Ruble and the IMF bridge loan to serial sovereign defaulter Argentina?Two reasons...
Read MoreArticle by Beat Wittmann, Chief Investment Strategist at Key Family Partners SA Geopolitics - The West Prevails Russia’s unlawful and unacceptable overthrow of Europe’s post WW ll security order and the strategic confrontation between China and the US are permanently changing the geopolitical landscape and the economic...
Read MoreGeopolitics - Bipolarity Defining Our Age The defining geopolitical confrontation of our age is the strategic rivalry between the US and China. Geopolitics remain complex, ambiguous and to varying degrees confrontational, in a world characterized by the growing bipolarity between the global West led by the...
Read MoreThe collapse of a major US bank doesn’t come as a surprise given the current macroeconomic backdrop with the recent strong and fast rise in interest rates. In this context, the failure and closure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will not be the last significant bank,...
Read MoreTransition to a New World Order 2023 has started with the US continuing leading a united Global West, China re-opening and focusing on economic growth, Russia digging in on its illegal military attack on Ukraine and Iran’s regime doubling down on domestic repression. Stay prepared for more...
Read MoreJapan and Hong Kong. Two Asian countries with two very different economies, but one similarity that could spell trouble. Three years ago the HK protests focused our attention on the US dollar to HK dollar linked exchange rate. Back then, we speculated whether the relationship could...
Read MoreStalemate Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February took the world by surprise, and has moved investors’ attention away from COVID to almost exclusively on geopolitics and inflation. As well as the enormous humanitarian impact and suffering caused, the war has created major global financial consequences for...
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