Ukraine Tag

Putin pulled the trigger…

  |   Geopolitics, Macro

Russia’s Putin launched an unprovoked military invasion into the Ukraine on February 24th 2022. Up to that point Putin had three strategic options to deal with the self-inflicted situation in the Ukraine: to de-escalate, to muddle-through or to attack.  I had assigned a low probability to...

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Russia’s Gamble with the Ukraine

  |   Macro, Market View

The Russian President threatening the Ukraine, offers highly uncertain rewards yet a potentially lethal downside for him and his inner circle. Russia is getting ahead of itself apparently emboldened by the illegal and only modestly sanctioned seizure of Crimea. The blame, however, lies by no...

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