Russia Tag

Central Banks Succumbing to Market Forces

  |   Geopolitics, Macro

Chaotic Global Macro at Centre Stage The global macro situation remains complex and chaotic filled with conflicts, cross currents, vastly diverging and often opposing interests: Russia’s unlawful war on Ukraine  China’s misguided COVID policy  Global energy and food crisis Unprecedented sovereign debt levels Derailed inflation ratesFragmentation in financial marketsIncreasing financial stability...

Read More

3-Minute Market Take

  |   Macro, Capital Markets, Geopolitics

Stalemate Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February took the world by surprise, and has moved investors’ attention away from COVID to almost exclusively on geopolitics and inflation.  As well as the enormous humanitarian impact and suffering caused, the war has created major global financial consequences for...

Read More

Putin pulled the trigger…

  |   Geopolitics, Macro

Russia’s Putin launched an unprovoked military invasion into the Ukraine on February 24th 2022. Up to that point Putin had three strategic options to deal with the self-inflicted situation in the Ukraine: to de-escalate, to muddle-through or to attack.  I had assigned a low probability to...

Read More

Russia’s Gamble with the Ukraine

  |   Macro, Market View

The Russian President threatening the Ukraine, offers highly uncertain rewards yet a potentially lethal downside for him and his inner circle. Russia is getting ahead of itself apparently emboldened by the illegal and only modestly sanctioned seizure of Crimea. The blame, however, lies by no...

Read More